Fianna Fáil's Jim Gavin Pulls Out from Ireland's Presidential Race
With an unexpected announcement, a key main candidates in the Irish race for president has left the contest, reshaping the political landscape.
Withdrawal Announcement Reconfigures Campaign Landscape
The party's presidential hopeful pulled out on the evening of Sunday following disclosures about an outstanding payment to a past renter, converting the election into an unpredictable direct competition between a moderate right ex-minister and an non-aligned left-leaning member of parliament.
Gavin, 54, a newcomer to politics who was parachuted into the election after careers in sport, aviation and the military, withdrew after it was revealed he had failed to return a overpaid rent of over three thousand euros when he was a landlord about 16 years ago, during a period of economic hardship.
"I made a mistake that was contrary to my values and the expectations I hold. I am currently resolving the issue," he stated. "Reflecting deeply, regarding the possible effects of the continuing election battle on the wellbeing of my family and friends.
"Weighing all these factors, My decision is to step down from the campaign for president with immediate action and go back to my family."
Contest Reduced to Primary Hopefuls
A major surprise in a presidential campaign in living memory narrowed the contest to Heather Humphreys, a past government official who is campaigning for the incumbent center-right political party Fine Gael, and another candidate, an frank advocate for Palestine who is backed by Sinn Féin and minor progressive groups.
Crisis for Leadership
The withdrawal also created turmoil for the prime minister and party head, the party chief, who had risked his standing by choosing an untried candidate over the reservations of party colleagues.
Martin said the candidate wished to avoid "cause dispute" to the office of president and was correct to step down. "He acknowledged that he committed a mistake in relation to an matter that has come up lately."
Election Challenges
Even with a track record of competence and success in business and sport – he guided the Dublin football squad to multiple successive wins – his political bid struggled through blunders that left him trailing in an opinion poll even prior to the financial revelation.
Individuals within Fianna Fáil who had been against choosing Gavin said the situation was a "serious miscalculation" that would have "repercussions" – a implied threat to Martin.
Election Rules
The candidate's name may remain on the ballot in the election on 24 October, which will end the 14-year tenure of President Higgins, but people must choose between a two options between a mainstream moderate hopeful and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. Survey results prior to his departure gave Connolly 32% support and Humphreys 23%, with Gavin on 15%.
According to voting regulations, voters select candidates in order of preference. In case nobody reaches half the votes initially, the hopeful with the fewest initial choices is removed and their votes are transferred to the subsequent choice.
Likely Support Redistribution
Analysts predicted that in the event of his exclusion, the bulk of his support would go to Humphreys, and conversely, enhancing the possibility that a mainstream contender would secure the presidency for the Fianna Fáil/Fine Gael coalition.
Presidential Duties
The presidency is a primarily ceremonial position but incumbents and past holders made it a venue for worldwide concerns.
Final Contenders
The 68-year-old Connolly, from Galway, would bring a strong leftwing voice to that tradition. She has assailed capitalist systems and said the group represents "part of the fabric" of the Palestinian community. Connolly has alleged the alliance of warmongering and equated Germany's increased defence spending to the thirties, when the Nazi leader built up military forces.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has encountered examination over her performance in government in administrations that managed a housing crisis. A Presbyterian from the northern county, she has also been faulted for her failure to speak Gaelic but said her Protestant heritage could assist in gaining unionist community in a united Ireland.